How the Calorie Deficit Planner Works
The planner estimates resting energy expenditure using the Mifflin–St Jeor equation, applies an activity multiplier to estimate maintenance calories, then compares maintenance with the planned calorie intake. The weekly forecast recalculates maintenance as projected body weight decreases instead of assuming today's deficit remains unchanged forever.
The original Mifflin–St Jeor study derived the equation from 498 adults aged 19–78. Results for people outside that age range remain estimates and receive an extra notice in this planner.
Starting Deficit
Estimated TDEE − planned calories
Weekly Energy Estimate
Daily deficit × 7 ÷ 7,700 kcal/kg
Planning a Gradual Weight-Loss Pace
The CDC describes gradual, steady weight loss of about 1 to 2 pounds per week as more likely to be maintained than faster loss. That range is broad public-health guidance, not a personal calorie prescription. Medicines, medical conditions, hormones, age, stress, sleep, food access, activity, and other factors can affect both safety and outcomes.
- Use measured progress to reassess estimates over time
- Avoid counting exercise twice in activity and food targets
- Do not treat a projected date as a guaranteed outcome
- Prioritize sustainable eating and activity patterns
- Expect short-term scale changes from water and glycogen
- Seek professional help for restrictive or distressing plans
Why Real Weight Change Differs
This forecast improves on a single linear division by lowering estimated maintenance as projected weight falls. It still cannot model individual metabolic adaptation, body-composition changes, appetite, adherence, changing movement, illness, fluid shifts, or measurement error. The research behind the NIH Body Weight Planner uses a more sophisticated published dynamic model; this tool is a transparent educational estimate rather than a replacement for it or for clinical assessment.
Health and Safety Notice
This adult planner provides general educational estimates and is not medical or nutritional advice. Do not use it as personal guidance during pregnancy or breastfeeding, for anyone under 18, with an eating disorder history, or with a medical condition or medication affecting weight without qualified clinical guidance. Stop and seek help if weight-loss efforts cause concerning physical or psychological symptoms.